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Politics is a messy business.  On the one hand sometimes the process involves identifying a problem and then using reason and logic to find an affordable and workable solution.  On the other hand, there is the “hidden agenda” of politics.  This is the process of advocating a “solution” under the guise of solving a problem but in reality hoping merely to benefit one group, individual or “special interest.”  Often the two become blurred and even interchangeable.

Consider World War II.  At the time hostilities had broken out in Europe and Asia, the overwhelming sentiment in America was to stay out of the war.  With 20/20 hindsight most Americans would say that it was “right” for America to enter the war primarily because (a) we won and (b) Hitler and the Japanese were evil.  However, none of that was clear in 1940.  Largely “hidden agenda” politics was used by our elected officials to advance resistance to the Axis powers with less than logical solution identification politics.  Finally, the bombing of Pearl Harbor tipped the balance into war.   

This is why it is so important to elect persons of integrity and intelligence to office.  When the “rubber meets the road” the personality of the elected official is the measure of the scales in which the decision will be made. 

I would give this flick four out of five stars.  It is very interesting and well done.  The twin brothers who claim MZ stole Facebook from them are a little cartoonish but the flick is fascinating.  Particularly interesting is the role Sean Parker of Napster “fame” played in Facebook.  Also intriguing is that Larry Summers is the president of Harvard, and he, of course, went on to be Obama‘s economic advisor.  I still can’t for the life of me figure out how Facebook which is a free service with no advertising is worth so darn much money.  The movie doesn’t even attempt to explain that.  Lastly, I found it humorous that the film hints that all of these great innovations (Napster and Facebook) are really about smart guys trying to impress a lady.  Well, Hollywood had to put its signature approach in there somewhere. 

On the Republican side, Betty Ireland is likely to win that primary.  On the Democratic side, Thompson, Purdue, Tomblin and Tennant will pretty much evenly divide up the vote.  Right now the edge in that primary goes to whichever candidate can win the media battle. 

The key right now on the Democratic side is to figure out what issue will surface as the “driver” for the May vote.  If the “driver” is the economy then the scales tip towards Tomblin because of his knowledge of the budget and his status as acting Governor.  Labor has a tough row to the hoe in this primary since Purdue, Tennant and Thompson are all worthy of allegiance from the unions.  For this reason a large turnout by Democrats probably favors Purdue.

 

The governor’s race is now officially underway.  When I decide for whom to vote for a position such as that, I ask myself one question:  Who is likely to inspire those around him or her to look for solutions to problems?  For my money one of the best at doing that was former Governor Gaston Caperton.  He had zero political experience when elected but served two successful terms.  I attribute his success to his ability to inspire and motivate those around him to perform at a high level.  That is basically how he built a successful insurance business when he was in the private sector.

Too many politicians approach governing as a zero sum game meaning if I win, you lose so everything is a trade off.  A good executive asks the question how do we get this done and listens to anyone and everyone.  The other “trick” is do remember that “building a consensus” or “hammering out a compromise with all the stakeholders” DOES NOT mean that the right solution has been found.  Government by consensus merely means nothing of importance will be done.

 

Two of my favorites:

A well-known retailer:  “The more you spend, the more you save.”  Gee, I can make money if I just spend a lot!!

A car warranty company:  “We guarantee to pay every covered claim.”  And who decides if the claim is covered?  The company of course. 

Advertising is fun to watch.

Sorry to have forgotten that, John.

In my last post I predicted that Betty Ireland and Natalie Tennant would square off in the general for governor.  Some folks have asked why I make that predicted.  Those are the only two candidates with a statewide “footprint.” 

With its decision today, the WVa Supreme Court raised and fired the starter pistol on the horse race for governor.  The Legislature will no doubt erase the present party convention mechanism to select party candidates and call for a primary probably in May.  The odds on favorites right now are Betty Ireland (R) and Natalie Tennant (D).  It will be unusual and odd to watch a one race election unfold across the state.  Candidates no doubt are rushing to hire consultants, make phone calls, determine the message and start raising money. 

It is intriguing that the court’s opinion was written by Justice Benjamin who himself was the subject of an important US Supreme Court election law decision recently.

The odd dynamic is how the Legislature will function this session.  Remember the three way gun fight in “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly“?  Remember we have three announced gubernatorial candidates in charge:  Speaker Thompson, Acting President Kessler and Acting Governor Tomblin.  Please do not ask me who is the good, who is the bad and who is the ugly.  But presumably if any of them can “shoot” the other whenever “high noon” comes about Legislatively things will get so interesting.

1.  On the gubenatorial succession issue, I predict the West Virginia Supreme Court will rule that a special election needs to be held and that unless the Legislature passes a set of rules to do so they will take up the case after the session is over and set the rules themselves.

2.  Rich Rod will file for personal bankruptcy.

3.  WVU will finish second in the Big East basketball tournament and will make it to the Sweet Sixteen.

4.  West Virginia‘s economy will outperform 80% of other states.

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Little known fact:  The office of Governor in West Virginia is a pretty weak position legislatively.  If the Senate and the House pass a bill and the Governor vetoes it, do you know what percentage of the House and Senate must vote to override the veto in order to make the bill law?  Two-thirds?  No.  The answer is A SIMPLE MAJORITY – the same vote total that passed the bill in the first place!  (In the case of the budget the veto override is two-thirds.)

 

The U.S. Congress is considering eliminating earmarks – the ability of a Senator or a Congressman to mandate that federal money will be spent in a given manner in his or her state.  Presumably, the argument against “earmarking” is twofold.  One criticism is that it results in stupid expenditures (the bridge to nowhere, studies of butterfly populations, etc.).  Secondly, it results in some states (West Virginia when Byrd was alive) getting much more than others.

West Virginia had the same sort of dynamic in the “budget digest” where a few legislators allocated budget funds as a perk to those in power.  Pursuant to a court decision, our legislature changed the system.  We now have community participation grants.  When I was in the legislature that meant a Delegate or Senator could allocate state funds to a given project or organization but there was a dollar limit to how much anyone person could allocate and it had to fall into certain broad categories. 

This is a good system.  Without earmarks, the budget puts “site specific” and “timing” decisions on expenditures in the hands of the bureaucracy and the executive branch.  Unlimited “earmarking” leads to the abuses, real or perceived, discussed above.  The West Virginia solution is to allow the practice but limit the amount.

If every Congressperson can allocate up to X dollars then because the amount it limited it is more likely than not that only worthwile projects will be funded.  This also eliminates the “Bryd problem” because everyone gets the same earmarking authority so the expenditures done in this manner will “match” the population.